Someone always wins.
As far as playoff betting in the second round of the Stanley Cup Playoffs goes, that was definitely not me.
After Connor McDavid completely erased the perception that the Calgary Flames were a legitimate contender in just five games, I needed the Carolina Hurricanes to mind business in order to salvage my second-round bets.
I went last night sitting on two pending bets: Carolina to win Game 1 and the series, and the Hurricanes and Colorado Avalanche to advance.
For the third time in eight days, I chose not to cover.
I dropped the New York Rangers to win the series at +260 after Game 3.
I bumped them up to +126 after game 4 and to +340 after game 5.
Eventually I moved over New York to win at +128 to win last night.
I certainly haven’t forgotten the Rangers – I took them to beat the Pittsburgh Penguins in the first round, and after they barely survived thanks in part to injuries to Tristan Jarry and Sidney Crosby, I just didn’t think that they looked like a team that could do it again against the Hurricanes.
Instead, Igor Shesterkin bounced back, New York responded time and time again and in a win-win seventh game, a few power play goals and another brilliant performance from their goaltender was enough to secure their first victory over the series road.
So I am this morning looking at the conference finals series prizes on FanDuel Sportsbook.
Turns out I pass the Rangers again.
I hope it doesn’t come back to haunt me.
Here is the TSN EDGE Morning Coffee for Tuesday, May 31, 2022.
Best bets for conference finals
The sun is out this morning and the coffee is hot.
There’s nothing I want more than to turn my attention to the conference finals and pick winners.
So let’s go.
The Colorado Avalanche have become the Stanley Cup favorite at FanDuel Sportsbook.
As of this morning, Colorado is -240 to win the Western Conference Finals and +120 to win the Stanley Cup.
Nathan MacKinnon and Cale Makar have averaged 1.3 points per game in these playoffs, so it’s no surprise they’re the top two picks to win the Conn Smythe Trophy ahead of the Conference Finals. ‘West.
Mikko Rantanen, Gabriel Landeskog and Nazem Kadri all average at least one point per game.
Devon Toews, Bowen Byram, Erik Johnson and Josh Manson round out a solid defensive core, although the absence of Samuel Girard will continue to be felt as the Avalanche try to slow down Edmonton’s top line.
Darcy Kuemper hasn’t been great, but if Colorado has the firepower to follow the Oilers up front, then all Kuemper should have to do is match Mike Smith’s play at the other end in order to win the series.
Over the weekend, I suggested jumping on Avalanche -220 as the best price we would see for them to win the series before Game 1.
In addition to Colorado to win the series, I jumped on Avalanche -1.5 at -115 at FanDuel Sportsbook.
FanDuel also has a number of intriguing specials for the Western Conference Finals right now.
My favorite is Nathan MacKinnon who scored 3+ goals in the series at -178.
As for game 1 tonight, I bet the total on 7 at +114 at FanDuel on Saturday.
I still like more for the open this morning at +104.
I will also add MacKinnon on 4.5 shots on goal -140 and McDavid on 4 shots on goal at -104.
Basically, I’m all for two of the best players in the game acknowledging the moment, showing up for the series opener and giving us a memorable Game 1.
Meanwhile in the East, the Tampa Bay Lightning are -190 to qualify for the Stanley Cup Finals for the third consecutive season.
The Lightning have been the series’ biggest favorite with no home advantage in the Conference Finals since 1988.
Series favorites without home-court advantage in the Conference Finals have advanced to the Stanley Cup Finals six of eight times.
I’m already in Tampa Bay to win the East, so I’ll leave it at that and hope the Rangers don’t mess me up anymore.